Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2025-01-19 0.000013 0.000016 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046
2025-01-26 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059
2025-02-02 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033 0.000048 0.000075
2025-02-09 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000034 0.000053 0.000092
2025-02-16 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000060 0.000113
2025-02-23 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000039 0.000069 0.000144
2025-03-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000042 0.000078 0.000180
2025-03-09 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000043 0.000085 0.000217
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000092 0.000259
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000101 0.000319
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000048 0.000111 0.000395
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000048 0.000119 0.000472
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000049 0.000128 0.000578
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000139 0.000730
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000053 0.000156 0.000984
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000054 0.000169 0.001268
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000057 0.000190 0.001774
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000061 0.000219 0.002761
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000064 0.000250 0.004390
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000066 0.000273 0.006469
2025-06-08 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000067 0.000295 0.009738
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000069 0.000330 0.017528